"It doesn't matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn't matter how smart you are. If it doesn't agree with experiment, it's wrong." Richard P. Feynman

Thursday, October 14, 2010

What Climate Scientist Consensus?

Following the Royal Society watering down it's stand on Global Warming from a definite to a "maybe" and the resignation letter to the APS by Professor Hal Lewis more cracks are appearing in the Global Warming consensus says the Australian.

The Royal Society's report coincides with dissidence at the American Physical Society.

The Royal Society's September report, Climate Change: A Summary of the Science, has brought into the open the widening difference of views about how the science of climate change should be assessed. It comes after a prominent resignation from the American Physical Society (the top body of US physicists) for the refusal of the society's executive to undertake a similar review despite requests from a large number of members.
In Australia, too, an examination of the Inter-Academy Council's review of the processes and procedures of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change concludes that, although the council's chairman claims the IPCC's findings stand, the review itself exposes serious flaws in the panel's information and analysis. The examination by this group, which is a follow-up to its recent publication in the British journal Energy & Environment, is now being widely distributed in Australia.

The challenge to the executive of the American Physical Society is to rescind its 2007 declaration that global warming represents "a dire international emergency". The large dissenting group there circulated a letter saying Climategate has revealed "an international fraud, the worst any of us have seen" and asking for the society's position to be put on ice until the extent of concern expressed at the Climategate revelations is clarified.

This dispute displays every sign of being ongoing.
With the increased problems with interpreting the science, it is not surprising that reports indicate the slow progress of climate change discussions in China and a dismal outlook for next month's international leaders' meeting at Cancun. This poses a serious risk that essential electricity investment here will not occur in time to prevent further precautionary price rises (on top of the already very large recent increases) and possible blackouts. In these circumstances, Australian governments need to provide a guarantee that investors in electricity generation will be compensated if generators or retailers are forced in the future to increase their prices because of carbon pricing policies. This is a matter that requires a decision at the Council of Australian Governments before the Gillard committee reports at the end of next year.

Update 1:
The APS has replied to the Lewis letter and WUWT has this reply with the good Doctor's annotated comments - interesting reading!
Update 2.
Professor Lewis's defection stirs the Climate Change factions in Australia with Professor Plimer supporting Lewis and Professor Steffen supporting the alarmist line.
"Some have held that the physicists of today are not as smart as they used to be, but I don't think that is an issue," Professor Lewis said. "I think it is the money, exactly what Eisenhower warned about a half-century ago."

Australian climate sceptic Ian Plimer, from the University of Adelaide, said he was not surprised by Professor Lewis's resignation.

"Only younger people with careers in front of them are afraid to rock the boat," Professor Plimer said.
"Older scientists, near the end of their career, can expose the fools and frauds and blow the whistle that major bodies of information are not appearing in publications," he said.


  1. The MSM will try to keep this quiet just like last week's global warming scandal.

    If you aren't familiar with the 10:10 dust up, see the videos below.

    While watching the first one, ask yourself if it's sincere or if 10:10 is being pranked on by skeptics.

    Keep watching until you're sure, and then watch more.

    Note: the resignations of Chris Landsea and Roger A Pielke SR. both hint at conspiracy.

    Landsea resigned because of an unethical press conference that was likely used by Al Gore as a green light to build his movie around Hurricane Katrina.

    Pielke resigned because while lead author for a major climate report, scientists worked behind his back to undermine him. These incidents are well known and not hard to research.
    Even if you are familiar with the 10:10 thing, there's a variety of over the top eco stuff in the playlist.

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