"It doesn't matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn't matter how smart you are. If it doesn't agree with experiment, it's wrong." Richard P. Feynman

Friday, November 18, 2011

Draft IPCC Report Blow to Warmists

The Global warming hydra has many heads and as fast as one is lopped another appears in it's place. We have seen  Global Warming ,after warming ceased morph into the all encompassing Climate Change, and now, as that lost it's punch the new and more terrifying Climate Extremes rears it's head. Warmists, politicians and the rest of the AGW menagerie have decided to scare the knickers off all and sundry with the climate extremes scare.
The new draft IPCC report has , however, done a bit of lopping itself and has stated that the view that extreme events are caused by Climate Change is not supported by the evidence.
The interesting thing will be the final composition of the report after "editing " by the Mannian clones before publication as I guess the current conclusions ,however true ,will be  unacceptable to those manipulating this scam.

WIDELY-HELD assumptions that climate change is responsible for an upsurge in extreme drought, flood and storm events are not supported by a landmark review of the science.
And a clear climate change signal would not be evident for decades because of natural weather variability.
Despite the uncertainties, politicians - including US President Barack Obama in his address to federal parliament yesterday - continue to link major weather events directly to climate change.
Greens leader Bob Brown yesterday highlighted Mr Obama's climate change comments and said the extreme weather impacts were "not just coming, they are happening".
But rather than bolster claims of a climate change link, the scientific review prepared by the world's leading climate scientists for the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change highlights the level of uncertainty. After a week of debate, the IPCC will tonight release a summary of the report in Kampala, Uganda, as a prelude to the year's biggest climate change conference, being held in Durban, South Africa.
The full report will not be released for several months but a leaked copy of the draft summary, details of which have been published by the BBC and a French news agency, have provided a good indication of what it found.
While the human and financial toll of extreme weather events has certainly risen, the cause has been mostly due to increased human settlement rather than worse weather.
There is only "low confidence" that tropical cyclones have become more frequent, "limited to medium evidence available" to assess whether climatic factors have changed the frequency of floods, and "low confidence" on a global scale even on whether the frequency has risen or fallen.
According to the BBC, the draft report said while it was "likely" that anthropogenic influences were behind the changes in cold days and warm days, there was only "medium confidence" that they were behind changes in extreme rainfall events, and "low confidence" in attributing any changes in tropical cyclone activity to greenhouse gas emissions or anything else humanity had done.
The draft report says "uncertainty in the sign of projected changes in climate extremes over the coming two to three decades is relatively large because climate change signals are expected to be relatively small compared to natural climate variability".

1 comment:

  1. In other words, if there's any evidence at all that the shrieking Warmists might be right, it's completely buried in the noise of normal weather variability. But the IPCC continues to rake in massive amounts of funding so it doesn't really matter, does it?